Michigan vs Wisconsin : This will be the 67th meeting between Michigan and Wisconsin. The Wolverines hold a 50-15-1 lead in the all-time series and have a 23-6 record in games played at Michigan Stadium (28-7 all-time in Ann Arbor). U-M has claimed victories in 18 of the last 25 games played between the two schools and 32 of the last 40 matchups …
While Michigan and Wisconsin both call the Big Ten home, they don’t play nearly as often since the conference expanded to 14 teams and went to separate divisions. This will be the 67th meeting between the Big Ten counterparts in their history, but only the third game between them since the 2011 season.
Also, while the series has been dominated by Michigan over its entire history (Michigan leads 50-15-1), Wisconsin has gotten the better of the maize and blue recently. Wisconsin has won five of the last eight meetings, including a 24-10 win last year in Madison, though Michigan won 14-7 when they last met in Ann Arbor in 2016.
The No. 12 Michigan Wolverines are 16-2 straight up over their last 18 home games and 5-1 against the spread over their last six home games. The Wolverines will try to keep things rolling at home with a win this Saturday night against the No. 15 Wisconsin Badgers.
Michigan is a 9.5-point home favorite in Ann Arbor at sportsbooks monitored by OddsShark.com. In the last seven games the Wolverines have played at home against the Badgers Michigan is 6-1 SU.
Since losing their season opener 24-17 to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish, Michigan has bounced back with a 5-0 SU and 3-2 ATS record over its last five games. Ole Miss transfer Shea Patterson has given Jim Harbaugh some much-needed stability at the quarterback position with 1,187 passing yards and 10 passing touchdowns and only three interceptions through the first half of the season.
Michigan has been a big favorite in each of its last five games; the real test comes over its next three games at home against Wisconsin and Penn State and on the road against Michigan State.
The Wolverines covered the spread last Saturday in their 42-21 win over Maryland. Michigan is 1-11 ATS in its last 12 games coming off an ATS win per the OddsShark College Football Database.
Wisconsin has covered the spread only once this season, doing so as 3-point favorites in a 28-17 road win over the Iowa Hawkeyes last month. But despite their 1-4 ATS record and disastrous 24-21 home loss to BYU, the Badgers are still alive and well in the Big Ten with a 2-0 SU conference record and a 4-1 SU record overall.
The Badgers have a chance to turn the narrative on their season around with a big upset this Saturday. Wisconsin is 9-1-1 ATS in its last 11 games against Michigan.
Saturday’s total is set at 49 points. The OVER is 6-1 in Michigan’s last seven games at home.
With each of these teams’ blemishes coming out of conference, both still control their destiny in the Big Ten. Ohio State and Penn State currently sit at No. 1 and No. 2 in the Big Ten pecking order, and the winner of this game will solidify itself as the biggest threat to disrupt those two teams down the stretch.
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Wisconsin enters the contest with the nation’s No. 25 overall offense, totaling 480.2 yards per game and the nation’s No. 45 scoring offense, averaging 33.8 points per game. Much of that success comes from sophomore running back Jonathan Taylor. Through five games, Taylor leads the entire country in rushing yards per game with 169.8, and is third in total rushing with 849 yards (both players ahead of him have played six games).
Taylor is an elite player, a Heisman Trophy contender and future NFL back that runs behind one of the most experienced and talented offensive lines in the nation. Michigan will need to slow him down and make the Badgers beat them through the air.
Wisconsin quarterback Alex Hornibrook hasn’t thrown nearly as many interceptions as last year, but he still isn’t the type of quarterback that is going to blow away a defense, especially one as good as Michigan’s.
The good news for the Wolverines is they still have the No. 1 defense in the nation, allowing 230.5 yards per game. They also have the No. 6 rushing defense, giving up just 96.5 yards per game, and the No. 1 passing defense, allowing 134.0 yards through the air.
Wisconsin may have the best offense Michigan has seen this season, but the Maize & Blue have a clear advantage here.